Price
$7.49
Advertised RTP
95.77%
EV $7.17 from 38 items
Observed RTP, 30d
109.17%
21 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 21 openings and 4.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 21 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/revolver/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 95.77%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $7.49 | 95.77% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $7.49 | 94.00% | 38 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 3.8%covert 0.7%covert knife 0.0%#ffd700 0.3%classified 22.4%gold 0.3%mil spec 13.5%restricted 31.7%#8847ff 15.8%violet 3.8%Mythical 3.8%#4b69ff 3.8%best hit —