Shadowkek
A case on CSGORUN (media), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$8.49
Advertised RTP
89.05%
EV $7.56 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.59%
384 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
56.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 384 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/shadowkek/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.05%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $8.49 | 89.05% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.49 | 92.72% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.6%classified 11.1%mil spec 12.2%extraordinary 0.0%red 0.0%Ancient 0.4%blue 1.1%Legendary 1.0%#d32ee6 8.3%uncommon 2.4%light blue 5.2%pink 4.1%milspec 6.3%#4b69ff 3.3%restricted 5.2%Consumer Grade 13.0%consumer 7.1%#8847ff 6.1%Rare 3.1%Industrial Grade 5.3%violet 2.6%Mythical 1.6%best hit —