Silkie
A case on CSGORUN (chickens), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$19.60
Advertised RTP
95.20%
EV $18.66 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
100.33%
245 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 245 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/silkie/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 95.20%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $19.60 | 95.20% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $19.60 | 96.54% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 4.8%gold 0.0%extraordinary 1.2%classified 22.1%Immortal 0.0%sunny 0.0%Extraordinary 0.1%covert knife 0.4%#ffd700 0.7%Rare 1.4%rare 1.3%restricted 14.2%Restricted 2.6%industrial 8.9%mil spec 7.6%Ancient 3.0%Mil Spec Grade 4.5%#d32ee6 4.5%pink 4.5%violet 4.5%milspec 4.5%#4b69ff 4.6%Common 4.6%best hit —