Skewers
A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$20.43
Advertised RTP
93.96%
EV $19.20 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.12%
60 openings, odds method
Variance
2.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 60 openings and 10.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 60 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/skewers/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $20.43 | 93.96% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $20.77 | 92.43% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.77 | 94.54% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.1%high 0.0%classified 44.9%legendary 0.0%extraordinary 0.9%sunny 0.0%rare 0.1%restricted 11.2%gold 0.1%Legendary 1.8%uncommon 2.4%red 5.8%pink 11.9%Mythical 5.0%mil spec 4.5%#d32ee6 4.8%#8847ff 3.5%best hit —