Spectrum
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$8.99
Advertised RTP
94.05%
EV $8.46 from 38 items
Observed RTP, 30d
67.71%
15 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
54.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 15 openings and 3.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/spectrum/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 94.05%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $8.99 | 94.05% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $8.99 | 94.00% | 38 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.2%covert knife 0.0%sunny 0.0%Covert 0.0%gold 0.0%#ffd700 0.1%classified 37.3%Legendary 7.2%restricted 31.6%Mythical 13.5%mil spec 4.5%Mil Spec Grade 4.5%best hit —