Train
A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.
Price
$0.56
Advertised RTP
93.46%
EV $0.52 from 23 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.86%
232 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 338 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgorun:v1/box/train/show, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.46%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.56 | 93.46% | 23 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.56 | 94.00% | 23 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 9.7%2 7.0%industrial 17.9%consumer 20.7%Consumer Grade 10.4%milspec 8.3%violet 7.3%Rare 4.9%restricted 5.0%Uncommon 6.4%light blue 2.5%best hit —