Yet Another

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price
$8.67
Advertised RTP
83.29%
EV $7.22 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.56%
1,630 openings, odds method
Variance
14.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
77.37%±62.03146 openings
7 days
74.06%±20.821,296 openings
30 days
76.56%±18.571,630 openings
since tracking started
76.56%±18.571,630 openings
14.5%77.3%140.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h14677.37%±62.0−0.2σodds
7d1,29674.06%±20.8−0.9σodds
30d1,63076.56%±18.6−0.7σodds
All1,63076.56%±18.6−0.7σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,638 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: Yet Another), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.29%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$8.6783.29%17
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 1.1%extraordinary 0.0%classified 18.0%sunny 0.1%red 0.5%Ancient 0.3%pink 30.0%#8847ff 50.0%best hit —