ESPORTS 2014 SUMMER CASE
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$13.43
Advertised RTP
83.31%
EV $11.19 from 73 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.39%
1,525 openings, odds method
Variance
16.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values73 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,529 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: esports-2014-summer-case), 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.31%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $13.43 | 83.31% | 73 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 11.5%Covert 0.1%covert 0.5%Immortal 0.0%knifes 0.2%covert knife 0.2%sunny 0.0%classified 0.5%restricted 12.0%#4b69ff 0.5%violet 2.5%Rare 5.0%mil spec 67.0%best hit $1,237 (92.08x)