ESPORTS 2013 CASE
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$59.12
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $49.27 from 69 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.16%
686 openings, odds method
Variance
9.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values69 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 686 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: esports-2013-case), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $59.12 | 83.33% | 69 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 4.9%Covert 0.8%Immortal 0.0%knifes 1.5%covert knife 1.7%classified 0.1%sunny 0.1%violet 2.5%restricted 28.5%mil spec 60.0%best hit $1,203 (20.35x)