Revolver Case CS2

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price
$6.64
Advertised RTP
83.24%
EV $5.53 from 68 items
Observed RTP, 30d
74.65%
2,328 openings, odds method
Variance
66.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 87
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
340 openings · below min
7 days
72.06%±35.572,023 openings
30 days
74.65%±33.162,328 openings
since tracking started
74.65%±33.162,328 openings
-0.5%74.8%150.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h34062.79%±86.8—odds
7d2,02372.06%±35.6−0.6σodds
30d2,32874.65%±33.2−0.5σodds
All2,32874.65%±33.2−0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values68 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,328 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 50,000$9,5823.5%00.0—
★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 50,000$1,8170.7%00.0—
★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 50,000$1,3760.5%00.0—
★ Karambit | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 50,000$1,3260.5%00.0—
★ Karambit | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 50,000$1,2550.5%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · Immortal1 in 50,000$1,2370.4%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 50,000$1,0560.4%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Factory New)knife · knifes1 in 50,000$1,0500.4%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 50,000$1,0490.4%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 50,000$1,0420.4%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Night (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 50,000$1,0120.4%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 20,000$9450.9%00.1—
★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 20,000$9310.8%00.1—
★ Karambit | Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 20,000$8740.8%00.1—
★ Karambit | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 20,000$8640.8%00.1—
★ Karambit | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 20,000$8640.8%00.1—
★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · knifes1 in 20,000$7200.7%00.1—
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 20,000$7080.6%10.1—
★ Flip Knife | Night (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 20,000$6940.6%00.1—
★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 20,000$6830.6%00.1—
★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 20,000$6660.6%00.1—
★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 20,000$6150.6%00.1—
★ Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 20,000$5310.5%00.1—
★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 14,286$5000.6%00.2—
★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 14,286$4560.6%00.2—
★ Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 14,286$4460.6%00.2—
★ Flip Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 14,286$4130.5%00.2—
★ Bayonet | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · knifes1 in 10,000$4000.7%00.2—
★ Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 10,000$3920.7%00.2—
★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 10,000$3890.7%00.2—
★ Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 10,000$3750.7%00.2—
★ Bayonet | Scorched (Factory New)knife · knifes1 in 10,000$3690.7%10.2—
★ Gut Knife | Night (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 10,000$3430.6%00.2—
★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 10,000$3410.6%00.2—
★ Flip Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 10,000$3350.6%00.2—
★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 10,000$3230.6%00.2—
★ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 10,000$3140.6%00.2—
★ Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 10,000$3060.6%00.2—
★ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 6,667$2900.8%00.3—
★ Flip Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · knifes1 in 6,667$2410.7%00.3—
★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 6,667$2250.6%00.3—
★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · knifes1 in 6,667$2140.6%00.3—
★ Gut Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 5,000$2110.8%00.5—
★ Flip Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 2,000$1831.7%11.20.86×
★ Flip Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 2,000$1791.6%21.21.72×
★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 2,000$1791.6%11.20.86×
★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,000$1582.9%22.30.86×
★ Gut Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,000$1502.7%52.32.15×
★ Gut Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,000$1372.5%42.31.72×
R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 1,000$1332.4%12.30.43×
★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · knifes1 in 1,000$1322.4%52.32.15×
★ Gut Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 1,000$1292.3%22.30.86×
★ Gut Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,000$1252.3%32.31.29×
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 1,000$1172.1%32.31.29×
G3SG1 | The Executioner (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 667$73.642.0%83.52.29×
P90 | Shapewood (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 400$56.072.5%65.81.03×
Tec-9 | Avalanche (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 200$19.771.8%1611.61.37×
Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 100$15.512.8%2923.31.25×
Negev | Power Loader (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 100$12.582.3%3223.31.37×
SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 77$11.632.7%3430.31.12×
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 77$11.592.7%2330.30.76×
PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 77$11.182.6%2330.30.76×
XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 20$8.017.2%92115.20.80×
Sawed-Off | Yorick (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff11.0%$2.134.2%257256.11.00×
Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Factory New)weapon · mil spec15.0%$1.484.0%364349.21.04×
AUG | Ricochet (Factory New)weapon · mil spec18.0%$1.274.1%420419.01.00×
P2000 | Imperial (Factory New)weapon · mil spec21.0%$1.044.0%516488.91.06×
SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New)weapon · mil spec22.0%$0.933.7%477512.20.93×
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: revolver-case), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.24%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$6.6483.24%68
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedCovert 0.0%covert 0.7%Immortal 0.0%knifes 0.2%covert knife 0.2%sunny 0.0%classified 0.5%restricted 2.8%#8847ff 2.3%mil spec 77.3%Mythical 5.0%#4b69ff 11.0%best hit $708 (106.7x)