Price
$6.64
Advertised RTP
83.24%
EV $5.53 from 68 items
Observed RTP, 30d
74.65%
2,328 openings, odds method
Variance
66.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 87
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values68 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,328 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: revolver-case), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.24%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.64 | 83.24% | 68 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 0.0%covert 0.7%Immortal 0.0%knifes 0.2%covert knife 0.2%sunny 0.0%classified 0.5%restricted 2.8%#8847ff 2.3%mil spec 77.3%Mythical 5.0%#4b69ff 11.0%best hit $708 (106.7x)