Gloves 10%

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price
$17.97
Advertised RTP
83.31%
EV $14.97 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.41%
1,950 openings, odds method
Variance
9.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
68.44%±33.77326 openings
7 days
80.42%±15.731,503 openings
30 days
85.41%±13.811,950 openings
since tracking started
85.41%±13.811,950 openings
34.0%68.5%103.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h32668.44%±33.8−0.9σodds
7d1,50380.42%±15.7−0.4σodds
30d1,95085.41%±13.8+0.3σodds
All1,95085.41%±13.8+0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,003 openings, 30 days

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: gloves-10), 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.31%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$17.9783.31%11
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 10.0%Rare 90.0%best hit —