Gold Digger
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$1.34
Advertised RTP
82.88%
EV $1.11 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
68.02%
17.9K openings, odds method
Variance
564.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 37
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17.9K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: gold-digger), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 82.88%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.34 | 82.88% | 28 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 10.6%covert 0.1%rare 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%classified 0.9%restricted 16.7%Restricted 12.0%#8847ff 10.0%milspec 10.0%#87c7ff 10.0%industrial 29.7%best hit $331 (246.6x)