Mamma Mia Lich
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$150.00
Advertised RTP
83.34%
EV $125.00 from 26 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.12%
512 openings, odds method
Variance
4.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 516 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: mamma-mia-lich), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.34%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $150 | 83.34% | 26 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 31.6%restricted 18.4%classified 13.8%covert knife 1.9%red 8.0%gold 3.0%extraordinary 3.0%Covert 3.3%mil spec 5.0%#d32ee6 12.0%best hit $1,470 (9.80x)