Sunken Treasure CS2 (CSGO) Case
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$30.00
Advertised RTP
82.79%
EV $24.84 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.04%
637 openings, odds method
Variance
6.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 637 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: sunken-treasure), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 82.79%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $30.00 | 82.79% | 17 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedgold 0.4%extraordinary 2.7%covert 4.0%classified 5.7%covert knife 1.5%mil spec 1.7%Restricted 2.0%restricted 25.0%Mythical 57.0%best hit $833 (27.78x)