Competitive Brothers V2

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price
$111.81
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $93.17 from 29 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.29%
476 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
21 openings · below min
7 days
86.14%±12.74319 openings
30 days
82.29%±10.43476 openings
since tracking started
82.29%±10.43476 openings
21.0%71.5%122.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2171.54%±49.7—odds
7d31986.14%±12.7+0.4σodds
30d47682.29%±10.4−0.2σodds
All47682.29%±10.4−0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 476 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 200$9625.2%22.40.84×
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 200$8824.7%32.41.26×
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Field-Tested)gloves · gold1 in 100$4885.2%14.80.21×
P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$4584.9%64.81.26×
AK-47 | Jet Set (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 100$4434.8%54.81.05×
★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 67$3145.0%97.11.26×
AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 50$2755.9%69.50.63×
M4A4 | Hellfire (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 50$2515.4%69.50.63×
★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Field-Tested)gloves · Extraordinary1 in 50$2164.6%109.51.05×
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 50$2024.3%109.51.05×
AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 40$1875.0%1411.91.18×
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 40$1554.2%1111.90.92×
★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 40$1273.4%1311.91.09×
AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 40$1183.2%1311.91.09×
M4A1-S | Moss Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 40$1173.1%1311.91.09×
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 40$1072.9%611.90.50×
Nova | Baroque Orange (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 40$1052.8%1211.91.01×
★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 33$86.732.8%2314.31.61×
★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Well-Worn)gloves · sunny1 in 33$85.952.8%1314.30.91×
USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 33$80.552.6%1414.30.98×
★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · sunny1 in 33$78.592.5%1514.31.05×
USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 29$71.962.7%2116.71.26×
M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 25$61.542.6%2419.01.26×
AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 20$54.662.9%2723.81.13×
USP-S | Road Rash (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 17$40.312.6%2928.61.02×
M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 14$13.341.0%4333.31.29×
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn)weapon · Rare1 in 14$13.251.0%3133.30.93×
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 13$10.490.9%3238.10.84×
P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted16.5%$4.640.8%6478.50.81×
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: competitive-brothers), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$11283.33%29
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 5.0%gold 1.5%classified 18.0%Extraordinary 2.0%covert 17.0%covert knife 2.5%industrial 2.5%restricted 25.0%sunny 6.0%#8847ff 3.0%mil spec 10.5%Rare 7.0%best hit $962 (8.60x)