Price
$111.81
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $93.17 from 29 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.29%
476 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 476 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: competitive-brothers), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $112 | 83.33% | 29 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 5.0%gold 1.5%classified 18.0%Extraordinary 2.0%covert 17.0%covert knife 2.5%industrial 2.5%restricted 25.0%sunny 6.0%#8847ff 3.0%mil spec 10.5%Rare 7.0%best hit $962 (8.60x)