Cyber Assault Case
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$36.08
Advertised RTP
80.82%
EV $29.16 from 34 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.13%
644 openings, odds method
Variance
5.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 644 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: cyber-assault), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 80.82%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $36.08 | 80.82% | 34 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.5%gold 0.1%Immortal 0.1%sunny 0.2%covert knife 3.1%Classified 4.8%classified 22.2%blue 5.0%violet 11.2%industrial 5.5%restricted 13.5%Legendary 7.0%pink 7.8%consumer 8.0%common 8.0%best hit $1,393 (38.62x)