Csmarket.gg case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

Price

$67.51

Advertised RTP

83.23%

EV $56.19 from 294 items

Observed RTP, 30d

84.95%

474 openings, odds method

Variance

1.1×

of price², per opening

Tail share

16.7%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

63.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

31 openings · below min

7 days

84.88%±11.17352 openings

30 days

84.95%±9.62474 openings

since tracking started

84.95%±9.62474 openings

24.5%62.7%101.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	31	62.83%±37.6	—	odds
7d	352	84.88%±11.2	+0.3σ	odds
30d	474	84.95%±9.62	+0.4σ	odds
All	474	84.95%±9.62	+0.4σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values294 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 474 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 10,000	$1,611	0.3%	0	0.0	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$1,179	0.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$1,158	0.2%	1	0.0	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$1,067	0.2%	0	0.0	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Lunar Weave (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$1,008	0.2%	0	0.0	—
★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$971	0.2%	1	0.0	—
★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$954	0.2%	0	0.0	—
★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 6,667	$768	0.2%	0	0.1	—
★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 6,667	$749	0.2%	0	0.1	—
AWP \| Silk Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 5,000	$584	0.2%	0	0.1	—
Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,000	$549	0.2%	0	0.1	—
Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 5,000	$536	0.2%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 \| Jet Set (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 5,000	$499	0.2%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 4,000	$483	0.2%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 4,000	$473	0.2%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 4,000	$452	0.2%	0	0.1	—
★ Talon Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 4,000	$429	0.2%	0	0.1	—
Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 3,333	$428	0.2%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 3,333	$415	0.2%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,333	$405	0.2%	0	0.1	—
★ Talon Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert	1 in 3,333	$391	0.2%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 3,333	$382	0.2%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 3,333	$380	0.2%	0	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · sunny	1 in 2,857	$372	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,857	$371	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,857	$369	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 2,857	$361	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert	1 in 2,857	$357	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,857	$354	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,857	$352	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,857	$351	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · knifes	1 in 2,857	$349	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Talon Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,857	$345	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Immortal	1 in 2,857	$343	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Talon Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,857	$341	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Talon Knife \| Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,857	$337	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Talon Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,857	$331	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,857	$320	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Talon Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,857	$319	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,857	$317	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Talon Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,857	$315	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,857	$315	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,857	$314	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Talon Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 2,857	$313	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 2,857	$313	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,857	$312	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · Immortal	1 in 2,857	$310	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,857	$309	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 2,857	$306	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,857	$302	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,857	$301	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Talon Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,857	$301	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,500	$298	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Talon Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,500	$296	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,500	$295	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 2,500	$295	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,500	$286	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 2,500	$285	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert	1 in 2,500	$283	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,500	$276	0.2%	0	0.2	—
AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 2,500	$275	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,500	$272	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,500	$270	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 2,500	$269	0.2%	2	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,500	$266	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,500	$265	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,500	$264	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,500	$260	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,500	$259	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,500	$259	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,500	$257	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,500	$253	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$249	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$248	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$247	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 2,000	$246	0.2%	0	0.2	—
M4A4 \| Daybreak (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,000	$238	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$236	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$231	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert	1 in 2,000	$231	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$230	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$229	0.2%	0	0.2	—
G3SG1 \| Chronos (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,000	$229	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$227	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$226	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$223	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 2,000	$223	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$222	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$221	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Field-Tested)gloves · Extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$221	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$218	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$218	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert	1 in 2,000	$218	0.2%	2	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$216	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$215	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$215	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$215	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$215	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$214	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$213	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$213	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$213	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$211	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert	1 in 2,000	$209	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$207	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · rare	1 in 2,000	$207	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$207	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$207	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$206	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$205	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$202	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$199	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$198	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$197	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$197	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$197	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700	1 in 2,000	$197	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700	1 in 2,000	$196	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$195	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$195	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$195	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$194	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · knifes	1 in 2,000	$191	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700	1 in 2,000	$191	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert	1 in 2,000	$191	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$190	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$188	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$188	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$188	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$186	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$185	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$184	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$184	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$184	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$183	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$183	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$182	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$181	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$180	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$178	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$177	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$176	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$176	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$175	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$174	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$173	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$173	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$170	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$170	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · knifes	1 in 2,000	$170	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$169	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$169	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$169	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700	1 in 2,000	$169	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$169	0.2%	1	0.2	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$169	0.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · sunny	1 in 2,000	$168	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$168	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$168	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$167	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$167	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$166	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$165	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$160	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$160	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$160	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$159	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$159	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$158	0.1%	0	0.2	—
USP-S \| Target Acquired (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 2,000	$157	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$155	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$154	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$154	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Navaja Knifeknife · covert	1 in 2,000	$153	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$153	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$153	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$153	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$152	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$151	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$150	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$149	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$147	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$146	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 2,000	$145	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$144	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · sunny	1 in 2,000	$144	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$143	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$142	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$140	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$139	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$139	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$138	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$137	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$133	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$131	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$131	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$130	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · rare	1 in 2,000	$130	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$129	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Gut Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$129	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$124	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$124	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$124	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$122	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$122	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$120	0.1%	1	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700	1 in 2,000	$120	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · #ffd700	1 in 2,000	$120	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$120	0.1%	0	0.2	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700	1 in 1,000	$119	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$119	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$117	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$116	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$115	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Ursus Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$115	0.2%	1	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$115	0.2%	1	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert	1 in 1,000	$114	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$114	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$113	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$113	0.2%	1	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$112	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$111	0.2%	1	0.5	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$111	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$110	0.2%	1	0.5	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$110	0.2%	2	0.5	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn)knife · gold	1 in 1,000	$110	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$110	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700	1 in 1,000	$109	0.2%	1	0.5	—
★ Falchion Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$109	0.2%	1	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 1,000	$108	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Night (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$108	0.2%	2	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 1,000	$106	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$106	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$106	0.2%	2	0.5	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$105	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$105	0.2%	1	0.5	—
★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$105	0.2%	1	0.5	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$104	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$103	0.2%	1	0.5	—
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$103	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$103	0.2%	2	0.5	—
★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$102	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$102	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold	1 in 1,000	$102	0.2%	0	0.5	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · sunny	1 in 1,000	$102	0.2%	1	0.5	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 200	$99.24	0.9%	0	2.4	0.00×
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$99.03	0.9%	4	2.4	1.69×
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$98.65	0.9%	2	2.4	0.84×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 200	$98.29	0.9%	2	2.4	0.84×
★ Bowie Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife	1 in 200	$98.00	0.9%	7	2.4	2.95×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$97.75	0.9%	3	2.4	1.27×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$96.49	0.9%	3	2.4	1.27×
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 200	$96.04	0.9%	2	2.4	0.84×
★ Gut Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 200	$95.52	0.8%	0	2.4	0.00×
★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd700	1 in 200	$94.72	0.8%	2	2.4	0.84×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$93.90	0.8%	2	2.4	0.84×
★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd700	1 in 200	$93.44	0.8%	3	2.4	1.27×
★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife	1 in 200	$92.31	0.8%	0	2.4	0.00×
★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$92.10	0.8%	4	2.4	1.69×
★ Gut Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 200	$92.05	0.8%	0	2.4	0.00×
★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$92.05	0.8%	2	2.4	0.84×
★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$89.19	0.8%	4	2.4	1.69×
★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Field-Tested)gloves · Immortal	1 in 200	$88.98	0.8%	1	2.4	0.42×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · Immortal	1 in 200	$88.88	0.8%	2	2.4	0.84×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 200	$88.38	0.8%	3	2.4	1.27×
★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$88.37	0.8%	1	2.4	0.42×
★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$87.99	0.8%	1	2.4	0.42×
★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$87.62	0.8%	2	2.4	0.84×
★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 200	$87.51	0.8%	1	2.4	0.42×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$87.12	0.8%	3	2.4	1.27×
★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$86.74	0.8%	5	2.4	2.11×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$86.68	0.8%	0	2.4	0.00×
★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$86.36	0.8%	4	2.4	1.69×
★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 200	$86.25	0.8%	4	2.4	1.69×
★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 200	$85.67	0.8%	4	2.4	1.69×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$85.19	0.8%	3	2.4	1.27×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 200	$85.09	0.8%	0	2.4	0.00×
★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$84.22	0.7%	6	2.4	2.53×
★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 200	$84.18	0.7%	3	2.4	1.27×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold	1 in 200	$82.64	0.7%	1	2.4	0.42×
★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 200	$81.82	0.7%	3	2.4	1.27×
★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 200	$81.30	0.7%	3	2.4	1.27×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 200	$81.21	0.7%	2	2.4	0.84×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 200	$80.98	0.7%	3	2.4	1.27×
★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Field-Tested)gloves · gold	1 in 200	$80.98	0.7%	3	2.4	1.27×
★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 200	$79.29	0.7%	2	2.4	0.84×
★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 200	$78.88	0.7%	4	2.4	1.69×
★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700	1 in 200	$78.31	0.7%	2	2.4	0.84×
M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 200	$71.26	0.6%	2	2.4	0.84×
★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 100	$69.83	1.2%	3	4.7	0.63×
★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 100	$69.48	1.2%	3	4.7	0.63×
M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 20	$52.26	4.7%	23	23.7	0.97×
Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	19.3%	$21.36	7.3%	103	91.4	1.13×
AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	39.0%	$10.84	7.5%	176	184.9	0.95×

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from daddyskins:graphql case(slug: csmarket-gg-case), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New)weapon · classifiedcjG$67.51$1,15817.16x5d

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryScrappy Coco$67.51$97114.38x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd700✪-By"Mertcan"❤️$67.51$78.311.16x4h

★ Navaja Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covertSTRYCK$67.51$86.251.28x4h

AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted[BOT] Agent Smith$67.51$10.840.16x6h

★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert[BOT] John Doe$67.51$88.371.31x6h

AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted[BOT] Sauron$67.51$10.840.16x6h

AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted[BOT] Max Cady$67.51$10.840.16x6h

AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted[BOT] Alonzo Harris$67.51$10.840.16x6h

AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedDave$67.51$10.840.16x6h

AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedTheRealWraith | csgopoints.com$67.51$10.840.16x10h

AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedMaMeawww$67.51$10.840.16x10h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.23%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$67.51	83.23%	294

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed#d32ee6 0.0%extraordinary 8.3%classified 19.4%restricted 39.1%covert 14.4%covert knife 4.7%pink 0.0%Covert 0.7%sunny 0.3%gold 3.2%knifes 0.1%Immortal 2.7%Extraordinary 0.1%rare 0.1%#ffd700 2.0%Ancient 5.0%best hit $1,158 (17.16x)