Labubu Case
A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.
Price
$7.36
Advertised RTP
83.25%
EV $6.13 from 33 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.55%
1,657 openings, odds method
Variance
24.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 34
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,657 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: labubu), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.25%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.36 | 83.25% | 33 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 10.0%covert 1.3%#eb4b4b 0.0%rare 0.0%restricted 42.0%extraordinary 0.1%mil spec 21.4%classified 3.8%Classified 2.5%#8847ff 3.0%blue 4.5%Mythical 11.3%best hit $1,403 (190.7x)