Price
$49.96
Advertised RTP
83.32%
EV $41.63 from 39 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.98%
509 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
32.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 509 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
daddyskins:graphql case(slug: heavens), 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.32%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $49.96 | 83.32% | 39 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 0.0%covert 4.3%gold 1.1%classified 24.3%covert knife 0.5%restricted 13.0%mil spec 1.0%red 2.0%blue 3.0%milspec 3.0%Ancient 7.0%#4b69ff 10.0%Mil Spec Grade 10.0%Mythical 20.9%best hit —