IMMORTAL
A case on DROP.SKIN (bestseller), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.
Price
$1.42
Advertised RTP
107.47%
EV $1.53 from 48 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.67%
5,181 openings, odds method
Variance
8.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 107.80% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (68.96% – 84.38%, 5,181 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values48 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,181 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
dropskin:cases-service/slug/immortal/info, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 107.47%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $1.42 | 107.47% | 48 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $1.42 | 112.46% | 48 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.42 | 103.93% | 48 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.42 | 103.41% | 48 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $1.42 | 100.62% | 48 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $1.42 | 110.93% | 48 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $1.42 | 110.32% | 48 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $1.42 | 105.63% | 48 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $1.42 | 111.74% | 48 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $1.42 | 113.79% | 48 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 2.8%Classified 0.5%classified 1.2%restricted 8.0%violet 9.7%industrial 0.7%#4b69ff 5.2%mil spec 4.5%#8847ff 3.8%Legendary 0.6%pink 1.3%milspec 26.4%Mythical 7.5%Mil Spec Grade 12.9%Industrial Grade 4.3%blue 8.4%Rare 2.3%best hit —