NOBLE
A case on DROP.SKIN (cyber), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.
Price
$15.00
Advertised RTP
102.18%
EV $15.33 from 60 items
Observed RTP, 30d
80.85%
150 openings, odds method
Variance
4.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 10
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values60 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 151 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
dropskin:cases-service/slug/noble/info, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 102.18%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $15.00 | 102.18% | 60 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $15.00 | 101.15% | 60 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $15.00 | 101.44% | 60 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $15.00 | 101.44% | 60 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $15.00 | 100.23% | 60 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $15.00 | 100.34% | 60 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $15.00 | 102.10% | 60 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $15.00 | 98.90% | 60 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $15.00 | 99.70% | 60 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $15.00 | 99.91% | 60 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedgold 0.1%epic 0.1%covert 4.1%classified 18.4%red 1.0%Ancient 0.3%pink 0.7%restricted 19.6%Legendary 25.5%Industrial Grade 6.4%violet 6.8%Rare 7.0%#d32ee6 6.9%Mythical 3.2%best hit —