VENOM
A case on DROP.SKIN (cyber), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.
Price
$31.28
Advertised RTP
96.01%
EV $30.03 from 52 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.15%
65 openings, odds method
Variance
2.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 65 openings and 10.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values52 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 65 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
dropskin:cases-service/slug/venom/info, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 96.01%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $31.28 | 96.01% | 52 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $31.28 | 94.45% | 52 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $31.28 | 95.67% | 52 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $31.28 | 97.87% | 52 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $31.28 | 98.06% | 52 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $31.28 | 98.44% | 52 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $31.28 | 100.57% | 52 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $31.28 | 98.38% | 52 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $31.28 | 99.53% | 52 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $31.28 | 100.26% | 52 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 17.1%#eb4b4b 0.4%sunny 0.9%covert knife 1.0%rare 1.0%restricted 25.1%Covert 0.2%Classified 0.7%classified 9.0%Immortal 0.4%#d32ee6 0.4%Legendary 4.1%Restricted 4.2%blue 4.2%violet 7.8%industrial 12.0%Mythical 5.9%mil spec 3.0%pink 2.4%best hit —