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Mr. Gaben

A case on FarmSkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price.

Price
$349.99
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
99.29%
171 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
123 openings · below min
30 days
171 openings · below min
since tracking started
171 openings · below min
21.0%177.5%334.0%

Small sample. 171 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6177.61%±155.8—sample
7d123103.21%±27.4—sample
30d17199.29%±22.2—sample
All17199.29%±22.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogFarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertmyll$350$2,1666.19x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertmyll$350$2,1426.12x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertmyll$350$2,1426.12x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertmyll$350$2,1426.12x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertiiigorsd$350$2,1346.10x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertdarrell$350$2,1216.06x
AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert24$350$1,9675.62x
AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covertShell$350$1,9455.56x
AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covertednahenderson$350$1,9185.48x
★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertGoofball$350$1,7495.00x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinaryProTip$350$3370.96x
★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertMnonneli$350$1,7434.98x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryProTip$350$1,1773.36x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertMnonneli$350$43.890.13x
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinaryProTip$350$1460.42x
★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertRomanela$350$2830.81x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinaryppqpkfcw$350$3430.98x
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)weapon · covertmyll$350$2340.67x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covertppqpkfcw$350$68.900.20x
M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New)weapon · epicmyll$350$1740.50x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,166 (6.19x)