Aristocrat's Bouquet

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$15.00
Advertised RTP
88.87%
EV $13.33 from 27 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,493$6203.1%00.0—
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 1,250$5133.1%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 746$3083.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 629$2603.1%00.0—
★ Bowie Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 408$1693.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 391$1613.1%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 383$1583.1%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 369$1533.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 369$1533.1%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 376$1462.9%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd7001 in 328$1282.9%00.0—
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 198$76.982.9%00.0—
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 162$63.052.9%00.0—
AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 130$50.692.9%00.0—
Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 115$44.602.9%00.0—
AK-47 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 88$34.372.9%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee61 in 83$32.302.9%00.0—
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 78$30.512.9%00.0—
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 37$27.085.5%00.0—
SG 553 | Integrale (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 36$26.225.5%00.0—
P2000 | Corticera (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 30$22.325.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 26$19.265.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 23$17.145.5%00.0—
Nova | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 23$16.685.5%00.0—
SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 21$15.275.5%00.0—
AWP | Duality (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 20$15.095.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested)weapon · blue60.2%$0.351.6%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1071108, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$15.0088.87%27
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 12.5%sunny 0.1%extraordinary 0.5%#ffd700 0.3%restricted 0.8%classified 15.7%#d32ee6 1.2%Mythical 3.8%pink 4.9%blue 60.2%