Ocean Fang

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$20.00
Advertised RTP
88.82%
EV $17.76 from 27 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 3,226$1,0791.9%00.0—
M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 2,564$8471.9%00.0—
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 2,273$7601.9%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Battle-Scarred)gloves · rare1 in 1,667$5521.9%00.0—
★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 1,190$3991.9%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,149$3831.9%00.0—
M4A1-S | Master Piece (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 800$2661.9%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 649$2171.9%00.0—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 610$2041.9%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 214$1965.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 207$1895.1%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 173$1585.1%00.0—
MP9 | Stained Glass (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 147$1355.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 102$93.495.1%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 85$78.055.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 73$66.455.1%00.0—
M4A4 | The Emperor (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 63$57.545.1%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 45$41.155.1%00.0—
AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 45$36.684.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Bright Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 42$33.754.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 34$27.494.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 31$25.574.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 28$22.914.6%00.0—
USP-S | Royal Blue (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 26$20.784.6%00.0—
Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 25$20.514.6%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 25$20.164.6%00.0—
SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec63.5%$0.070.3%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1128683, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$20.0088.82%27
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 10.1%rare 0.1%covert 5.8%extraordinary 0.6%restricted 3.1%red 1.6%industrial 8.3%pink 3.0%mil spec 4.0%milspec 63.5%