Forest Call

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$20.00
Advertised RTP
88.83%
EV $17.77 from 33 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
4.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.3%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 100,000$3,5570.2%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 3,704$1,2501.9%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,493$4981.9%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Immortal1 in 1,099$3671.9%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 980$3271.9%00.0—
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 962$3191.9%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 134$1697.1%00.0—
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 116$1487.1%00.0—
AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 85$1087.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 55$70.017.1%00.0—
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 31$39.617.1%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 30$38.297.1%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 25$33.767.5%00.0—
USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 23$30.237.5%00.0—
P250 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 21$28.467.5%00.0—
AWP | Corticera (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ce61 in 17$22.727.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Green Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 16$21.167.5%00.0—
AWP | Atheris (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 14$19.267.5%00.0—
AUG | Carved Jade (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 334$17.160.3%00.0—
MP9 | Hydra (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 238$12.180.3%00.0—
P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 123$6.330.3%00.0—
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 64$3.290.3%00.0—
G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 37$1.920.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted1 in 21$1.090.3%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 21$1.080.3%00.0—
MP7 | Powercore (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 20$1.050.3%00.0—
MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 90$0.640.0%00.0—
SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 73$0.520.0%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Morris (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 53$0.380.0%00.0—
P90 | Grim (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 24$0.170.0%00.0—
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff1 in 14$0.100.0%00.0—
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 11$0.080.0%00.0—
MP7 | Motherboard (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff11.7%$0.060.0%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1245985, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$20.0088.83%33
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 3.8%extraordinary 1.7%Immortal 0.1%#8847ff 0.1%classified 0.5%restricted 20.8%mil spec 3.3%#d32ee6 3.9%Mythical 12.2%#d32ce6 5.9%blue 6.3%Rare 1.4%Restricted 4.7%violet 1.4%milspec 1.9%#4b69ff 13.1%#87c7ff 18.8%