BAJMI

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
88.82%
EV $8.88 from 34 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · Immortal1 in 2,381$4302.0%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,786$3222.0%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,613$2952.1%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 1,205$2182.0%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 926$1682.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 862$1562.0%00.0—
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 704$1282.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 694$1262.0%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 621$1132.1%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 588$1072.0%00.0—
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 578$1052.0%00.0—
AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 184$83.425.1%00.0—
M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 181$82.055.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 129$58.615.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 106$48.335.1%00.0—
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 56$25.305.1%00.0—
SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 54$24.645.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Brass (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 52$23.755.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 51$22.975.1%00.0—
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 50$22.655.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 49$22.275.1%00.0—
Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 48$21.905.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 76$19.382.9%00.0—
P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 63$16.072.9%00.0—
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 59$15.062.9%00.0—
P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 55$14.162.9%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ce61 in 52$13.422.9%00.0—
AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 51$12.692.8%00.0—
M4A1-S | Basilisk (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 50$12.662.9%00.0—
SG 553 | Darkwing (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 21$0.470.2%00.0—
MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 20$0.430.2%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 13$0.290.2%00.0—
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff15.7%$0.140.2%00.0—
Negev | Drop Me (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff36.9%$0.060.2%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1375914, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$10.0088.82%34
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedImmortal 0.0%covert 7.0%extraordinary 0.2%restricted 4.1%classified 14.7%red 2.0%#d32ce6 1.9%violet 4.7%mil spec 5.1%#4b69ff 60.2%