KINGUIN
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$9.00
Advertised RTP
89.08%
EV $8.02 from 37 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.35%
6,330 openings, odds method
Variance
5.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,332 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1528220, 12 Nov, 00:34 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.08%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $9.00 | 89.08% | 37 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.0%Covert 0.1%#eb4b4b 0.4%extraordinary 0.5%classified 14.1%#d32ee6 1.3%Legendary 1.3%restricted 4.8%pink 2.7%Mythical 9.2%#4b69ff 25.5%#8847ff 7.8%mil spec 10.5%milspec 18.7%best hit —