KRUTKI

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$15.00
Advertised RTP
88.79%
EV $13.32 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.75%
1,634 openings, odds method
Variance
5.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
85.35%±32.00186 openings
7 days
91.91%±11.531,432 openings
30 days
90.75%±10.791,634 openings
since tracking started
90.75%±10.791,634 openings
52.5%85.3%118.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h18685.35%±32.0−0.2σodds
7d1,43291.91%±11.5+0.5σodds
30d1,63490.75%±10.8+0.4σodds
All1,63490.75%±10.8+0.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,637 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 2,564$7292.1%00.6—
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 1,852$5232.1%20.9—
AK-47 | X-Ray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 1,493$4202.1%01.10.00×
★ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 1,099$3122.1%01.50.00×
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Battle-Scarred)gloves · rare1 in 826$2352.1%12.00.50×
MP9 | Stained Glass (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 552$1572.1%43.01.35×
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 248$1464.4%96.61.36×
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 185$1094.4%108.91.13×
M4A1-S | Master Piece (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 178$1054.4%69.20.65×
★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 164$97.104.4%1210.01.21×
StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 153$90.344.4%1610.71.50×
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 138$81.324.4%1711.91.43×
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 116$68.644.4%1414.10.99×
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 89$52.604.4%2018.41.09×
★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 73$42.794.4%1622.60.71×
G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 59$34.864.4%2627.70.94×
AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 26$28.068.2%7963.91.24×
M4A1-S | Guardian (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 24$26.558.2%5667.60.83×
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 24$26.258.2%7568.31.10×
USP-S | Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 21$23.078.2%7277.80.93×
AWP | Fever Dream (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 14$15.118.2%133118.71.12×
M4A1-S | Flashback (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 98$3.310.3%1716.71.02×
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 36$1.230.3%4544.91.00×
Tec-9 | Brother (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 12$0.410.3%144134.61.07×
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 10$0.350.3%165157.71.05×
Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff10.2%$0.330.3%138167.20.83×
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff16.9%$0.200.3%282275.91.02×
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec18.0%$0.190.3%278294.60.94×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1538599, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.79%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$15.0088.79%28
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrare 0.2%classified 19.4%covert 3.7%epic 0.1%restricted 0.2%extraordinary 1.1%violet 4.9%pink 4.8%#8847ff 11.0%mil spec 27.6%#4b69ff 27.1%best hit $523 (34.89x)