777
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$7.77
Advertised RTP
88.89%
EV $6.91 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.36%
10.8K openings, odds method
Variance
3.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.9K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/162, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.89%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $7.77 | 88.89% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed4 3.6%restricted 13.0%covert 0.3%classified 11.5%mil spec 22.4%industrial 5.1%#4b69ff 4.2%pink 0.4%#d32ce6 4.3%#d32ee6 3.9%Legendary 4.2%#87c7ff 6.2%#8847ff 12.4%Rare 8.5%best hit —