Price
$30.00
Advertised RTP
88.88%
EV $26.66 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.25%
1,320 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,346 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635092, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.88%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $30.00 | 88.88% | 28 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 22.0%red 17.3%rare 2.8%uncommon 1.4%Ancient 5.0%#eb4b4b 2.8%#d32ce6 48.7%best hit —