Golden Claus

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
89.07%
EV $3.56 from 32 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
7.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 2,941$2442.3%00.0—
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 2,083$1692.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 1,754$1442.3%00.0—
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,639$1352.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,639$1332.3%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,429$1162.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 813$66.422.3%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 769$62.892.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 524$42.742.3%00.0—
USP-S | Serum (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 521$42.522.3%00.0—
AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 503$41.142.3%00.0—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 472$38.442.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 446$36.312.3%00.0—
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 269$21.912.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 246$20.072.3%00.0—
USP-S | Royal Blue (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 201$16.352.3%00.0—
Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 191$15.582.3%00.0—
P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 185$15.072.3%00.0—
P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 159$12.992.3%00.0—
PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 144$11.742.3%00.0—
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 120$9.782.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Briefing (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 117$9.522.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 111$9.022.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Tatter (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 110$9.002.3%00.0—
P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee61 in 106$8.602.3%00.0—
G3SG1 | Stinger (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 32$8.057.0%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 32$7.957.0%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 28$7.087.0%00.0—
AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee61 in 27$6.747.0%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 27$6.697.0%00.0—
USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 20$4.726.7%00.0—
Sticker | Aim And Firesticker · #4b69ff68.0%$0.051.0%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635129, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$4.0089.07%32
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 8.4%extraordinary 0.0%covert 0.2%mil spec 0.2%red 0.2%Industrial Grade 0.5%#8847ff 4.2%violet 3.9%Rare 0.9%restricted 8.7%#d32ee6 4.7%#4b69ff 68.0%