Galaxy
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$100.00
Advertised RTP
88.89%
EV $88.89 from 70 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.72%
447 openings, odds method
Variance
5.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values70 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 447 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635180, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.89%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $100 | 88.89% | 70 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 16.7%legendary 0.2%#ffd700 2.3%gold 0.9%classified 4.3%restricted 1.6%Ancient 1.8%#eb4b4b 1.0%mil spec 2.2%red 2.3%rare 4.7%uncommon 62.0%best hit $2,073 (20.73x)