Deep Freeze

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$0.50
Advertised RTP
88.60%
EV $0.44 from 37 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
5.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 16,667$43.850.6%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 16,667$43.620.6%00.0—
MP7 | Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 14,286$37.410.6%00.0—
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 11,111$27.860.6%00.0—
M4A4 | Cyber Security (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 6,250$22.330.8%00.0—
Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 7,143$17.420.6%00.0—
FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 4,762$11.680.6%00.0—
G3SG1 | The Executioner (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 3,226$8.130.6%00.0—
M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 402$6.883.9%00.0—
AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 368$6.303.9%00.0—
AUG | Navy Murano (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer1 in 278$4.763.9%00.0—
AWP | Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 276$4.733.9%00.0—
USP-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 262$4.493.9%00.0—
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 217$4.184.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 426$3.371.8%00.0—
AUG | Navy Murano (Field-Tested)weapon · #7777771 in 195$3.343.9%00.0—
AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 362$2.871.8%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 267$2.121.8%00.0—
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 227$1.801.8%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 178$1.411.8%00.0—
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 169$1.341.8%00.0—
AWP | Acheron (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 159$1.261.8%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 139$1.101.8%00.0—
MAG-7 | Monster Call (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 135$1.071.8%00.0—
AK-47 | Uncharted (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 130$1.031.8%00.0—
Negev | Drop Me (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 128$1.011.8%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 122$0.971.8%00.0—
Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 43$0.955.0%00.0—
Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 11 in 39$0.865.0%00.0—
P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 36$0.805.0%00.0—
P250 | Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 33$0.745.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 29$0.655.0%00.0—
Negev | Terrain (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 25$0.555.0%00.0—
M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 69$0.551.8%00.0—
MAG-7 | Monster Call (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 23$0.525.0%00.0—
P250 | Ripple (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 22$0.505.0%00.0—
XM1014 | Canvas Cloud (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer62.0%$0.034.2%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635285, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$0.5088.60%37
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 2.6%classified 0.0%#eb4b4b 0.0%Rare 7.3%pink 0.1%Legendary 0.0%restricted 3.8%consumer 62.4%violet 1.1%#4b69ff 10.9%mil spec 6.4%#777777 0.5%milspec 0.6%Mythical 4.3%