Price
$0.50
Advertised RTP
88.95%
EV $0.44 from 32 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.11%
107K openings, odds method
Variance
9.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 16
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 107K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635293, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.95%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $0.50 | 88.95% | 32 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.50 | 88.90% | 32 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.1%restricted 10.9%mil spec 5.4%pink 0.1%Mythical 1.1%#4b69ff 2.2%milspec 2.6%Mil Spec 2.2%Mil Spec Grade 2.4%violet 2.9%Rare 3.0%#b0c3d9 67.1%best hit $57.66 (115.3x)