Tokyo Voyage

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
89.00%
EV $8.90 from 39 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
13.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 16
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 6,667$1,9023.2%00.0—
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 2,381$6723.2%00.0—
M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 2,273$6543.2%00.0—
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · gold · Sapphire1 in 1,786$5093.2%00.0—
★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · gold · Sapphire1 in 1,389$3993.2%00.0—
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 472$1353.2%00.0—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 417$1193.2%00.0—
AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 442$88.502.2%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 341$68.162.2%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 327$65.382.2%00.0—
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 322$64.372.2%00.0—
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 266$53.202.2%00.0—
AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 260$52.072.2%00.0—
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 256$51.162.2%00.0—
AWP | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 227$45.372.2%00.0—
AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 227$45.312.2%00.0—
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 217$43.502.2%00.0—
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 208$41.622.2%00.0—
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 167$33.362.2%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 146$29.282.2%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 135$26.942.2%00.0—
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 126$25.232.2%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 74$21.273.2%00.0—
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 60$14.662.8%00.0—
P2000 | Woodsman (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 60$14.612.8%00.0—
MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 58$14.292.8%00.0—
M4A1-S | Briefing (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 56$13.802.8%00.0—
Nova | Antique (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 56$13.752.8%00.0—
AK-47 | Aphrodite (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 56$13.682.8%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 56$13.662.8%00.0—
AK-47 | Aphrodite (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 55$13.482.8%00.0—
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 52$12.712.8%00.0—
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 45$10.982.8%00.0—
USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 31$9.413.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 20$6.073.4%00.0—
AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 11$1.281.3%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted10.3%$1.131.3%00.0—
AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted12.7%$0.961.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare32.9%$0.632.3%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635317, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$10.0089.00%39
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 6.6%covert 3.1%restricted 35.8%gold 0.1%red 3.9%Ancient 0.9%#d32ee6 2.8%violet 1.7%#8847ff 1.7%Rare 34.6%#4b69ff 1.8%pink 1.9%Legendary 4.9%