CS-CLASSIC
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$7.50
Advertised RTP
88.77%
EV $6.66 from 50 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.08%
4,870 openings, odds method
Variance
3.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values50 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,882 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635329, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.77%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $7.50 | 88.77% | 50 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.2%extraordinary 0.0%Ancient 0.0%Mil Spec Grade 0.1%#d32ee6 0.5%mil spec 0.5%restricted 5.6%red 1.2%classified 13.5%#d32ce6 8.5%uncommon 2.2%Mythical 2.5%Classified 0.7%pink 2.3%#8847ff 4.6%industrial 10.8%Uncommon 15.5%violet 1.1%#4b69ff 13.7%common 3.6%#5e98d9 9.8%best hit $379 (50.54x)