COACH MOUZ
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$17.00
Advertised RTP
88.88%
EV $15.11 from 35 items
Observed RTP, 30d
108.26%
1,294 openings, odds method
Variance
13.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 30
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,296 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635429, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.88%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $17.00 | 88.88% | 35 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.6%classified 9.6%Restricted 0.1%red 1.2%#ffd700 0.4%restricted 5.6%industrial 27.9%violet 8.5%#8847ff 1.7%milspec 4.4%#4b69ff 13.3%Rare 14.3%#87c7ff 10.5%best hit $1,366 (80.38x)