Crimson Crypt
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$45.00
Advertised RTP
88.85%
EV $39.98 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
80.79%
1,190 openings, odds method
Variance
20.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 73
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,205 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635606, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.85%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $45.00 | 88.85% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 0.1%classified 6.1%covert 11.4%covert knife 1.7%red 5.1%pink 3.2%extraordinary 1.4%restricted 0.7%blue 6.3%violet 4.2%mil spec 4.1%#4b69ff 16.4%milspec 9.3%blueLight 11.3%#87c7ff 18.7%best hit $3,568 (79.28x)