Golden Fury
A case on G4Skins, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$24.00
Advertised RTP
89.06%
EV $21.37 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.50%
1,440 openings, odds method
Variance
10.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,440 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635616, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.06%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 08:20 UTC | $24.00 | 89.06% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 4.5%classified 7.8%#ffd700 0.1%Ancient 0.5%restricted 8.9%extraordinary 1.7%rare 2.8%pink 5.9%#d32ee6 3.0%violet 6.4%industrial 3.5%mil spec 3.3%light blue 8.4%milspec 21.1%#4b69ff 21.9%best hit $2,068 (86.19x)