Price
$40.50
Advertised RTP
88.86%
EV $35.99 from 43 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.26%
1,800 openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,818 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/208, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.86%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $40.50 | 88.86% | 43 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 15.1%#eb4b4b 0.1%restricted 14.6%classified 13.6%Ancient 21.2%red 1.4%Legendary 6.5%Restricted 0.7%industrial 1.0%#d32ee6 2.5%#87c7ff 8.2%Mythical 2.0%violet 5.2%light blue 7.9%best hit $1,195 (29.51x)