Mosby
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$6.00
Advertised RTP
88.92%
EV $5.34 from 22 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.59%
5,729 openings, odds method
Variance
2.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,732 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/270, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC | $6.00 | 88.92% | 22 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $6.00 | 89.11% | 25 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedmil spec 1.3%covert 0.6%classified 0.5%restricted 85.6%blue 1.2%industrial 5.9%pink 2.1%Legendary 2.7%best hit —