PP-Bizon

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$1.00
Advertised RTP
88.83%
EV $0.89 from 39 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.58%
83.3K openings, odds method
Variance
9.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
84.59%±5.7011.3K openings
7 days
88.40%±2.3069.6K openings
30 days
88.58%±2.1083.3K openings
since tracking started
88.58%±2.1083.3K openings
78.0%84.8%91.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h11.3K84.59%±5.70−1.5σodds
7d69.6K88.40%±2.30−0.4σodds
30d83.3K88.58%±2.10−0.2σodds
All83.3K88.58%±2.10−0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 83.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 11,111$1571.6%137.51.73×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 11,111$1541.6%57.50.67×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 11,111$1521.5%47.50.53×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 3,846$55.971.6%2021.70.92×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 3,333$48.451.6%2225.00.88×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Antique (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 1,099$15.931.6%6976.00.91×
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 909$13.101.6%9991.81.08×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Antique (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 375$8.052.4%243222.91.09×
PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 299$6.442.4%292278.91.05×
PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 281$6.042.4%317297.31.07×
PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 275$5.912.4%272303.90.89×
PP-Bizon | Antique (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 264$5.682.4%325316.51.03×
PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 238$5.122.4%363350.71.04×
PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 229$4.922.4%331364.90.91×
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 204$4.392.4%391409.10.96×
PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 169$3.632.4%490494.30.99×
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 168$3.602.4%481498.50.96×
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 149$3.212.4%547559.40.98×
PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 136$2.932.4%639612.91.04×
PP-Bizon | Brass (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 132$2.832.4%642634.61.01×
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 131$2.822.4%626636.30.98×
PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 126$2.702.4%648664.60.97×
PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff1 in 110$2.362.4%740760.70.97×
PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff1 in 59$2.104.0%1,4251405.31.01×
PP-Bizon | Embargo (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 56$1.994.0%1,5501482.91.05×
PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff1 in 51$1.794.0%1,6271648.30.99×
PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 48$1.684.0%1,7981756.01.02×
PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 40$1.434.0%2,0772063.21.01×
PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 29$1.044.0%2,8372836.41.00×
PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 40$0.762.1%2,1232065.71.03×
PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 36$0.672.1%2,3222343.00.99×
PP-Bizon | Runic (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 35$0.662.1%2,3472378.00.99×
PP-Bizon | Lumen (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 33$0.622.1%2,5332531.71.00×
PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 24$0.462.1%3,3383412.60.98×
PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 16$0.443.2%5,4215313.81.02×
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff10.8%$0.263.2%8,8648991.90.99×
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff13.3%$0.213.2%11,15011132.81.00×
PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff14.0%$0.203.2%11,67011689.71.00×
PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff17.7%$0.153.0%14,83714804.21.00×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/324, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.83%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$1.0088.83%39
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.0%Covert 0.0%restricted 5.8%classified 0.1%#8847ff 4.8%industrial 0.4%mil spec 3.7%#4b69ff 59.2%Mythical 0.8%#87c7ff 22.3%violet 2.8%best hit $157 (157.0x)