Price
$1.00
Advertised RTP
88.83%
EV $0.89 from 39 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.58%
83.3K openings, odds method
Variance
9.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 83.5K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/324, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.83%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.00 | 88.83% | 39 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%Covert 0.0%restricted 5.8%classified 0.1%#8847ff 4.8%industrial 0.4%mil spec 3.7%#4b69ff 59.2%Mythical 0.8%#87c7ff 22.3%violet 2.8%best hit $157 (157.0x)