P2000
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$1.00
Advertised RTP
88.85%
EV $0.89 from 46 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.31%
59.2K openings, odds method
Variance
6.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 59.3K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/330, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.85%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 18:07 UTC | $1.00 | 88.85% | 46 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.00 | 88.86% | 46 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 27.7%3 2.9%Covert 0.0%classified 0.1%covert 0.0%#4b69ff 40.4%mil spec 11.9%restricted 9.0%violet 0.0%Rare 2.7%#87c7ff 0.6%Restricted 0.8%light blue 1.6%#8847ff 2.4%best hit $120 (120.0x)