Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.84%
EV $3.55 from 47 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.11%
9,109 openings, odds method
Variance
3.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,111 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/379, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.84%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.84% | 47 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 17.2%restricted 2.1%covert 0.5%Mythical 2.7%#ffd700 0.0%Covert 0.0%#4b69ff 18.1%mil spec 6.6%Restricted 0.0%red 0.5%pink 1.3%violet 9.1%#8847ff 9.4%blue 4.2%Mil Spec 5.4%#87c7ff 22.8%best hit $252 (62.94x)