Furazek

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.84%
EV $3.55 from 47 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.11%
9,109 openings, odds method
Variance
3.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
89.77%±10.961,243 openings
7 days
88.27%±4.328,009 openings
30 days
89.11%±4.059,109 openings
since tracking started
89.11%±4.059,109 openings
78.0%89.8%101.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,24389.77%±11.0+0.2σodds
7d8,00988.27%±4.32−0.3σodds
30d9,10989.11%±4.05+0.1σodds
All9,10989.11%±4.05+0.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,111 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 14,286$2520.5%10.6—
Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 11,111$1920.5%20.8—
AK-47 | First Class (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 9,091$1570.5%31.02.99×
AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 8,333$1390.5%11.10.91×
AWP | BOOM (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 7,692$1300.5%11.20.84×
Glock-18 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 7,692$1240.5%11.20.84×
AWP | BOOM (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 7,143$1160.5%21.31.57×
AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 6,250$1020.5%31.52.06×
AK-47 | First Class (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 5,556$93.920.5%21.61.22×
★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd7001 in 4,167$69.370.5%02.20.00×
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 4,000$66.310.5%22.30.88×
★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 3,571$59.420.5%12.60.39×
★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)knife · Covert1 in 3,333$54.150.5%12.70.37×
P250 | Bengal Tiger (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 3,226$53.050.5%52.81.77×
AK-47 | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 3,030$49.600.5%03.00.00×
AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 2,632$42.930.5%43.51.16×
USP-S | Ancient Visions (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted1 in 2,564$42.350.5%23.60.56×
AK-47 | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 2,500$41.330.5%43.61.10×
AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 235$39.404.7%4738.81.21×
AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 209$35.154.7%3443.60.78×
AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 178$29.924.7%5251.11.02×
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 146$24.494.7%6062.50.96×
AK-47 | Cartel (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 139$23.384.7%6565.50.99×
Chem-Haz Capitaine | Gendarmerie Nationaleagent · pink1 in 139$23.284.7%5665.80.85×
AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 101$17.014.7%9190.01.01×
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 77$12.944.7%119118.31.01×
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 74$12.454.7%131122.91.07×
UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 50$8.434.7%205181.61.13×
R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 44$7.574.8%193206.60.93×
R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 39$6.624.8%221236.20.94×
Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 34$5.784.8%262270.60.97×
AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 30$5.104.8%294306.70.96×
AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 26$4.444.8%370352.21.05×
Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 26$4.394.8%356356.21.00×
MAC-10 | Button Masher (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 52$3.561.9%167173.70.96×
Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 37$2.481.9%236249.30.95×
Patch | FURIA | Stockholm 2021patch · #4b69ff1 in 32$2.171.9%264284.90.93×
PP-Bizon | Embargo (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 28$1.871.9%340330.61.03×
AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 24$1.631.9%355379.30.94×
P90 | Grim (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 18$1.251.9%478494.60.97×
MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 16$1.111.9%552557.00.99×
MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 37$0.430.3%283243.61.16×
Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 29$0.330.3%301317.50.95×
MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 26$0.300.3%329349.20.94×
PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff1 in 12$0.140.3%797748.41.06×
Negev | Drop Me (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff11.5%$0.100.3%1,0801047.81.03×
AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff14.6%$0.080.3%1,3381329.91.01×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/379, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.84%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$4.0088.84%47
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 17.2%restricted 2.1%covert 0.5%Mythical 2.7%#ffd700 0.0%Covert 0.0%#4b69ff 18.1%mil spec 6.6%Restricted 0.0%red 0.5%pink 1.3%violet 9.1%#8847ff 9.4%blue 4.2%Mil Spec 5.4%#87c7ff 22.8%best hit $252 (62.94x)