Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
89.01%
EV $8.90 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.34%
4,122 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,147 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/621, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.01%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $10.00 | 89.01% | 18 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 88.85% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 2.4%classified 18.3%#ffd700 0.6%covert 2.3%mil spec 17.2%restricted 25.5%Rare 13.7%#4b69ff 20.0%best hit —