SmallJuicer

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
89.01%
EV $8.90 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.34%
4,122 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
79.20%±14.65442 openings
7 days
92.26%±5.273,522 openings
30 days
92.34%±4.874,122 openings
since tracking started
92.34%±4.874,122 openings
64.0%81.0%98.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h44279.20%±14.6−1.3σodds
7d3,52292.26%±5.27+1.3σodds
30d4,12292.34%±4.87+1.4σodds
All4,12292.34%±4.87+1.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,147 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 267$97.824.1%2115.51.35×
★ Driver Gloves | Convoy (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 251$91.734.1%1716.51.03×
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 211$77.034.1%2419.71.22×
USP-S | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 208$76.184.1%1119.90.55×
★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd7001 in 158$57.974.1%2026.20.76×
★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 134$48.904.1%3231.01.03×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 129$47.034.1%3332.21.02×
AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 128$46.934.1%2532.30.77×
★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 87$31.754.1%14947.73.12×
AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 16$22.3115.5%164255.70.64×
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 15$20.7615.5%173274.80.63×
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 13$18.3215.5%205311.40.66×
AUG | Momentum (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 20$5.603.1%234207.41.13×
Dual Berettas | Balance (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 10$2.903.1%496400.41.24×
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New)weapon · restricted10.4%$2.683.1%399433.30.92×
AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare13.7%$2.043.1%677569.21.19×
Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted15.1%$1.933.3%634624.41.02×
AUG | Ricochet (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff20.0%$0.360.8%833829.41.00×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/621, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.01%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 05:19 UTC$10.0089.01%18
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$10.0088.85%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 2.4%classified 18.3%#ffd700 0.6%covert 2.3%mil spec 17.2%restricted 25.5%Rare 13.7%#4b69ff 20.0%best hit —