Conductor
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$250.00
Advertised RTP
86.67%
EV $216.67 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.83%
749 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 749 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/625, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.67%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $250 | 86.67% | 24 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 2.3%classified 8.2%gold 0.7%Covert 0.7%#ffd700 4.9%covert 30.8%#d32ee6 2.1%restricted 2.2%sunny 2.5%mil spec 2.7%red 3.5%#87c7ff 39.4%best hit $1,955 (7.82x)