Price
$25.00
Advertised RTP
88.99%
EV $22.25 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.98%
8,318 openings, odds method
Variance
3.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,335 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/630065, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $25.00 | 88.99% | 28 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $25.00 | 89.07% | 28 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 9.9%mil spec 0.7%covert knife 0.4%red 0.5%gold 0.9%classified 31.8%#d32ee6 18.8%#8847ff 6.3%Mythical 14.4%restricted 16.4%best hit $783 (31.32x)