Dzinold

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$25.00
Advertised RTP
88.99%
EV $22.25 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.98%
8,318 openings, odds method
Variance
3.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.1%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
92.81%±8.751,602 openings
7 days
87.37%±4.276,880 openings
30 days
87.98%±3.888,318 openings
since tracking started
87.98%±3.888,318 openings
82.5%92.3%102.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,60292.81%±8.75+0.8σodds
7d6,88087.37%±4.27−0.8σodds
30d8,31887.98%±3.88−0.5σodds
All8,31887.98%±3.88−0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,335 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 971$7283.4%48.60.47×
★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 402$3013.4%2120.81.01×
MP9 | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 324$2433.4%2125.80.82×
MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 293$2203.4%1828.40.63×
★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 358$2112.6%1823.30.77×
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 334$1972.6%2024.90.80×
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 318$1872.6%2226.20.84×
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 229$1352.6%4236.31.16×
★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 227$1342.6%3236.70.87×
AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 214$1262.6%4138.91.05×
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 202$1192.6%2741.30.65×
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 174$1022.6%3847.90.79×
AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 163$96.052.6%4851.10.94×
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 151$88.832.6%4455.30.80×
AWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 147$86.462.6%6856.81.20×
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 116$68.382.6%6171.80.85×
★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 109$63.992.6%8576.71.11×
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 93$54.522.6%8190.00.90×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 26$47.038.1%92317.60.29×
AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 23$41.808.1%513357.41.44×
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 19$33.978.1%691439.81.57×
AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 18$33.008.1%570452.81.26×
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 19$12.563.0%344442.40.78×
StatTrak™ MP9 | Rose Iron (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 16$10.643.0%498522.30.95×
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical14.4%$4.633.0%1,1491200.20.96×
USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified14.7%$4.062.7%1,2141224.90.99×
Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee615.0%$3.972.7%1,2171252.70.97×
AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted16.4%$3.912.9%1,3561364.30.99×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/630065, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 05:19 UTC$25.0088.99%28
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$25.0089.07%28
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 9.9%mil spec 0.7%covert knife 0.4%red 0.5%gold 0.9%classified 31.8%#d32ee6 18.8%#8847ff 6.3%Mythical 14.4%restricted 16.4%best hit $783 (31.32x)