TokioX
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$16.00
Advertised RTP
88.81%
EV $14.21 from 35 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.64%
2,196 openings, odds method
Variance
3.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,196 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/630149, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.81%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $16.00 | 88.81% | 35 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 0.0%covert 4.3%Mil Spec Grade 0.5%restricted 34.0%pink 5.2%mil spec 3.0%red 1.1%Ancient 1.1%classified 20.7%Legendary 4.6%blue 4.7%#d32ce6 20.7%best hit —