Blackbeard
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$130.00
Advertised RTP
85.33%
EV $110.92 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.49%
418 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 418 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/647197, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 85.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $130 | 85.33% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#eb4b4b 0.0%covert 29.8%#d32ee6 0.1%extraordinary 17.8%restricted 7.2%#4b69ff 0.6%covert knife 4.2%classified 20.2%mil spec 4.2%#ffd700 3.0%gold 13.1%best hit $656 (5.05x)